Estimating the Prevalence of Opioid use Disorder in the Cincinnati Region using Probabilistic Multiplier Methods and Model Averaging

机译：使用概率乘数法和模型平均法估算辛辛那提地区阿片类药物使用障碍的患病率

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摘要

Opioid use disorder (OUD) and its consequences have strained the resources of health, social, and criminal justice services in the Cincinnati region. However, understanding of the potential number of people suffering from OUD is limited. Little robust and reliable information quantifies the prevalence and there is often great variation between individual estimates of prevalence. In other fields such as meteorology, finance, sports, and politics, model averaging is commonly employed to improve estimates and forecasts. The objective of this study was to apply a model averaging approach to estimate the number of individuals with OUD in the Cincinnati region.

机译：阿片类药物使用障碍（OUD）及其后果使辛辛那提地区的卫生，社会和刑事司法服务资源紧张。但是，对遭受OUD的潜在人数的了解有限。很少有健壮和可靠的信息可以量化患病率，而且各个患病率估计值之间通常会有很大差异。在气象，金融，体育和政治等其他领域，模型平均通常用于改善估计和预测。这项研究的目的是应用模型平均方法来估计辛辛那提地区有OUD的人数。

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期刊名称 Journal of Health Economics and Outcomes Research
作者
Peter J. Mallow; Nila Sathe; Michael Topmiller; Jennifer Chubinski; Dillon Carr; Roni Christopher;
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年(卷),期 2019(6),2
年度 2019
页码 -1
总页数 9
原文格式 PDF
正文语种
中图分类
关键词
Opioid use disorder; Cincinnati region; prevalence; simulation model; multiplier method; substance use disorder; addiction;

机译：阿片类药物使用障碍;辛辛那提地区;患病率;模拟模型;乘数法;物质使用障碍;成瘾;

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专利

1. Estimating Prevalence of Opioid Use Disorder in the Cincinnati Region Using Probabilistic Indirect Methodology Incorporating Bayesian Information Criterion [J] . Peter Mallow, Michael Tompiller, Jennifer Chubinski, Annals of epidemiology . 2018,第9期

机译：使用概率间接方法纳入贝叶斯信息标准估算辛辛那提区域阿片类药物使用障碍的患病率
2. Estimating prevalence of injecting drug use: a comparison of multiplier and capture-recapture methods in cities in England and Russia. [J] . Hickman M, Hope V, Platt L, Drug and alcohol review . 2006,第2期

机译：估计注射药物用途的患病率：乘法器比较英格兰和俄罗斯城市的捕获算法。
3. Estimating the Average Temporal Benefit in Probabilistic Environmental-Economic Models [J] . Automatic Control and Computer Sciences . 2019,第7期

机译：估计概率环境 - 经济模型的平均暂时效益
4. Leveraging Markov Models to Compute Prevalence Estimates for a Regional Breast Cancer Registry [C] . Monika POBIRUCHIN, Meinhard KIESER, Wendelin SCHRAMM Informatics, management and technology in healthcare . 2013

机译：利用马尔可夫模型计算区域性乳腺癌登记的患病率估计值
5. Assessing the prevalence of inadequate nutrient intake among vegetarians and non-vegetarians using the estimated average requirement: Results from the Adventist Health Study 2 calibration study [D] . Teo, Choon Chew 2011

机译：使用估计的平均需求量评估素食者和非素食者营养摄入不足的患病率：Adventist Health Study 2校准研究的结果
6. Improved benchmark-multiplier method to estimate the prevalence of ever-injecting drug use in Belgium 2000–10 [O] . Kaatje Bollaerts, Marc Aerts, Andre Sasse 2013

机译：改进的基准乘数法用于估计比利时2000–10年间不断注射吸毒的患病率
7. Estimating the Prevalence of Opioid use Disorder in the Cincinnati Region using Probabilistic Multiplier Methods and Model Averaging [O] . Peter J. Mallow, Nila Sathe, Michael Topmiller, 2019

机译：利用概率乘法机方法估算辛辛那提区域在辛辛那提区域的患病率和模型平均值

Estimating the Prevalence of Opioid use Disorder in the Cincinnati Region using Probabilistic Multiplier Methods and Model Averaging

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