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首页> 外文期刊>Accident Analysis & Prevention >Factors associated with automobile accidents and survival.
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Factors associated with automobile accidents and survival.

机译：与汽车事故和生存有关的因素。

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摘要

This paper develops an econometric model for vehicles' inherent mortality rate and estimates the probability of accidents and survival in the United States. Logistic regression model is used to estimate probability of survival, and censored regression model is used to estimate probability of accidents. The estimation results indicated that the probability of accident and survival are influenced by the physical characteristics of the vehicles involved in the accident, and by the characteristics of the driver and the occupants. Using restrain system and riding in heavy vehicle increased the survival rate. Middle-aged drivers are less susceptible to involve in an accident, and surprisingly, female drivers are more likely to have an accident than male drivers. Riding in powerful vehicles (high horsepower) and driving late night increase the probability of accident. Overall, the driving behavior and characteristics of vehicle does matter and affects the probabilities of having a fatal accident for differenttypes of vehicles.
机译：本文针对车辆的固有死亡率开发了计量经济学模型，并估计了美国发生事故和幸存的可能性。逻辑回归模型用于估计生存概率，而删失回归模型用于估计事故概率。估计结果表明，事故和幸存的概率受事故中车辆的物理特性以及驾驶员和乘员特性的影响。使用约束系统和在重型车辆上骑行可以提高生存率。中年驾驶员不太容易发生事故，令人惊讶的是，女性驾驶员比男性驾驶员更容易发生事故。乘坐强劲的车辆（高马力）和深夜驾驶会增加发生事故的可能性。总体而言，车辆的驾驶行为和特性确实很重要，并影响不同类型车辆发生致命事故的可能性。

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