System Dynamics Analysis of the Determinants of the Malaysian Palm Oil Price

Sahra Mohammadi; Fatimah Mohamed Arshad; Bilash Kanti Bala; Abdulla Ibragimov

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System Dynamics Analysis of the Determinants of the Malaysian Palm Oil Price

机译：马来西亚棕榈油价格决定因素的系统动力学分析

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This paper investigates the major determinants of the Malaysian palm oil price using a system dynamics approach. System dynamics methodology is very relevant for examining the feedback relationships, non-linearity and delays exist in palm oil market. It helps understand the palm oil market structure and the resultant behavior and performance particularly On crude Palm Oil (CPO) price. The simulation results indicate that the Malaysian CPO price is significantly affected by the local CPO production as well as the world CPO and soybean oil prices. It is also found that CPO price is less sensitive to biodiesel production, as biodiesel currently accounts for small portion of total CPO demand in Malaysia.

机译：本文使用系统动力学方法研究了马来西亚棕榈油价格的主要决定因素。系统动力学方法对于检查棕榈油市场中的反馈关系，非线性和延迟存在非常重要的意义。它有助于了解棕榈油的市场结构以及由此产生的行为和性能，尤其是关于棕榈油（CPO）的价格。模拟结果表明，马来西亚CPO价格受本地CPO生产以及世界CPO和豆油价格的显着影响。还发现，原棕油价格对生物柴油的生产不太敏感，因为生物柴油目前在马来西亚的原棕油总需求中只占一小部分。

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来源
《American journal of applied sciences》 |2015年第5期|355-362|共8页
作者
Sahra Mohammadi; Fatimah Mohamed Arshad; Bilash Kanti Bala; Abdulla Ibragimov;
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作者单位

Faculty of Economics and Management, Universiti Putra Malaysia, Selangor, Malaysia;

Faculty of Economics and Management, Universiti Putra Malaysia, Selangor, Malaysia;

Institute of Agriculture and Food Policy Studies, Universiti Putra Malaysia, Selangor Malaysia;

Institute of Agriculture and Food Policy Studies, Universiti Putra Malaysia, Selangor Malaysia;

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原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
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关键词
System Dynamics; Commodity Systems; Palm Oil; Malaysia;

机译：系统动力学;商品系统;棕榈油;马来西亚;

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System Dynamics Analysis of the Determinants of the Malaysian Palm Oil Price

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