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System Dynamics Analysis of the Determinants of the Malaysian Palm Oil Price | Science Publications

机译:马来西亚棕榈油价格决定因素的系统动力学分析科学出版物

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> >This paper investigates the major determinants of theMalaysian palm oil price using a system dynamics approach. System dynamicsmethodology is very relevant for examining the feedback relationships,non-linearity and delays exist in palm oil market. It helps understand the palmoil market structure and the resultant behavior and performance particularly Oncrude Palm Oil (CPO) price. The simulation results indicate that the MalaysianCPO price is significantly affected by the local CPO production as well as theworld CPO and soybean oil prices. It is also found that CPO price is lesssensitive to biodiesel production, as biodiesel currently accounts for small portionof total CPO demand in Malaysia.
机译: > >本文使用系统动力学方法研究了马来西亚棕榈油价格的主要决定因素。系统动力学方法学对于检验棕榈油市场中的反馈关系,非线性和延迟存在非常重要的意义。它有助于了解棕榈油的市场结构以及由此产生的行为和性能,尤其是Oncrude Palm Oil(CPO)价格。模拟结果表明,马来西亚CPO价格受本地CPO生产以及世界CPO和豆油价格的显着影响。还发现,由于生物柴油目前在马来西亚CPO总需求中只占很小的比例,因此CPO价格对生物柴油的生产不太敏感。

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