【24h】

Grenzen einer jeden Gesellschaft

机译:每个社会的局限性

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
           

摘要

Whatever the future of mankind might be, certain things will probably never change. People will like to live and to be protected by the society in which they live. They will care for the future of their children. They will need food and resources and will thus have to think about production, distribution and consumption of resources. Also, as before, they will usually prefer a higher standard of living to a lower one. If we agree on these assuptions, is it then possible to predict limiting society forms for possible developments of human societies? Bruss and Duerinckx (Ann. Appl. Probab., to appear, 2014) proved that the answer is yes if human societies are modeled by sequences of so-called resource dependent branching processes. Among other results, they show how the survival criteria of the societies forming an envelope of possible societies can be explicitly computed. One objective of this paper is to make these results accessible in easier terms to a broader audience. Secondly, we offer new interpretations of the results and also look at specific examples showing real-world conclusions. For the latter, two recent decisions of the German grand-coalition government, widely discussed in the media, are chosen. We try to shed light on them in view of some of our results.
机译:无论人类的未来是什么,某些事情可能永远不会改变。人们会喜欢生活,并受到他们所生活的社会的保护。他们将照顾孩子的未来。他们将需要粮食和资源,因此必须考虑资源的生产,分配和消耗。而且,和以前一样,他们通常会喜欢较高的生活水平而不是较低的生活水平。如果我们同意这些假设,那么是否有可能预测人类社会可能发展的限制社会形式? Bruss和Duerinckx(将于2014年出现,Ann。Appl。Probab。)证明,如果人类社会是通过所谓的依赖资源的分支过程序列来建模的,那么答案是肯定的。除其他结果外,它们显示了如何明确计算构成可能社会信封的社会的生存标准。本文的目的之一是使更广泛的受众更容易获得这些结果。其次,我们提供了对结果的新解释,并查看了显示真实结论的特定示例。对于后者,选择了德国大联合政府最近在媒体上广泛讨论的两项决定。鉴于我们的一些结果,我们试图阐明它们。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号