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Currency appreciation, rising financial asset values, and output fluctuations in China

机译:货币升值,金融资产价值上升以及中国的产出波动

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摘要

Applying a general equilibrium model and the Newey-West method, this article finds that real output in China has a positive relationship with real M2, the government deficit/GDP ratio, and the real stock price and a negative relationship with real appreciation. The expected inflation rate is insignificant. It is estimated that when the real effective exchange rate rises 1%, real GDP in China is expected to decrease by 0.938% and that a 1% increase in real stock prices would raise output by 0.126%.
机译:运用一般均衡模型和Newey-West方法,发现中国的实际产出与真实的M2,政府赤字/ GDP比率,真实的股票价格呈正相关,与真实的升值呈负相关。预期的通货膨胀率微不足道。据估计,当实际有效汇率上涨1%时,中国的实际GDP预计将下降0.938%,而实际股票价格上涨1%将使产出增加0.126%。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Applied Financial Economics Letters》 |2009年第9期|853-857|共5页
  • 作者

    Yu Hsing; Wen-Jen Hsieh;

  • 作者单位

    Department of General Business, College of Business, Southeastern Louisiana University, Hammond, USA;

    Department of Economics, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan City, Taiwan (R.O.C.);

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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