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Asymmetric modelling of the revenue-expenditure nexus: evidence from aggregate state and local government in the US

机译:收支关系的非对称模型:美国总州和地方政府的证据

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摘要

This study examines the time series dynamics between US aggregate state and local government receipts and expenditures in differentiating between four hypotheses related to the revenue-expenditure nexus: tax-spend, spend-tax, fiscal synchronization and institutional separation hypotheses. Unlike previous research at the state and local level, the possibility of asymmetries in the budgetary process is explored using the threshold autoregressive (TAR) and momentum threshold autoregressive (MTAR) cointegration framework of Enders and Siklos (2001). The results indicate the absence of any asymmetries (TAR or MTAR) in the adjustment towards budgetary equilibrium. The symmetric error correction model provides support for the spend-tax hypothesis.
机译:这项研究检查了美国总州与地方政府收支之间的时间序列动态,以区分与收支关系有关的四个假设:税收支出,支出税,财政同步和机构分离假设。与之前在州和地方层面的研究不同,预算编制过程中不对称的可能性是使用Enders和Siklos(2001)的阈值自回归(TAR)和动量阈值自回归(MTAR)协整框架进行探索的。结果表明,朝预算平衡的调整中没有任何不对称性(TAR或MTAR)。对称错误校正模型为支出税假说提供了支持。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Applied Financial Economics Letters》 |2009年第9期|871-876|共6页
  • 作者

    Matthew Zapf; James E. Payne;

  • 作者单位

    Department of Economics, Illinois State University, Normal, IL 61790-4200, USA;

    Department of Economics, Illinois State University, Normal, IL 61790-4200, USA;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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