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首页> 外文期刊>Arabian Journal for Science and Engineering. Section A, Sciences >Sustainable Development of Small‑Sized Hydropower Plants: Multilevel Decision‑Making from Site Selection to Optimal Design
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Sustainable Development of Small‑Sized Hydropower Plants: Multilevel Decision‑Making from Site Selection to Optimal Design

机译：小型水电站的可持续发展：从选址到优化设计的多层次决策

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摘要

Mountainous terrains have high potential for the development of run-of-river-type small-sized hydropower plants (SHPs).Prioritizing a large number of SHP sites based on their technical, economic, and socio-environmental constraints withlimited data is a daunting task. A multilevel framework is developed for effective decision-making at different phases ofthe project. At level 1, a screening process (based on subjective rating) prioritizes a larger set of potential SHP sites usingfuzzy-based multicriteria decision-making method (Fuzzy-MCDM), i.e. pre-feasibility phase. At level 2, the top ranked sitescan be evaluated, with additional data, based on their preliminary design and sustainability objectives using the fuzzy qualityfunction deployment (Fuzzy-QFD) method, i.e. feasibility phase. At level 3, collection and analysis of more extensive dataare carried out at detailed design phase of the top ranked sites (in level 2) before their implementation. Impact of climatechange on design discharge is assessed for optimal design of the SHP using global climate change model and HydrologicEngineering Centre-Hydraulic Modelling System. The proposed framework is applied on five potential SHP sites in Swat andChitral districts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province of Pakistan. Finally, the SHP sites were prioritized and the most optimalSHP site out of the five was designated for optimal design. Decision-makers around the globe can apply the framework foridentification of most sustainable sites at similar mountainous terrains and their subsequent implementation through privatesector, public sector, and public private partnership.
机译：山区地形具有发展沿河型小型水力发电厂（SHP）的潜力。基于有限的数据，技术，经济和社会环境因素对大量SHP场地进行优先排序是一项艰巨的任务。开发了一个多层次的框架，可以在项目的不同阶段进行有效的决策。在级别1，筛选过程（基于主观评分）使用基于模糊的多准则决策方法（Fuzzy-MCDM），即预可行性阶段，对较大的一组潜在SHP站点进行优先级排序。在第2级，可以使用模糊质量函数展开（Fuzzy-QFD）方法（即可行性研究阶段），根据其初步设计和可持续性目标，对排名靠前的站点进行评估，并提供其他数据。在第3层，在实施之前，在排名靠前的站点（第2层）的详细设计阶段对更广泛的数据进行收集和分析。使用全球气候变化模型和水文工程中心-水力模型系统，评估了气候变化对设计排放的影响，以实现小水电的最佳设计。拟议的框架适用于巴基斯坦开伯尔-普赫图赫瓦省的斯瓦特和奇特拉尔地区的五个潜在小水电站点。最后，对SHP站点进行优先级排序，并指定五个站点中最佳的SHP站点以进行最佳设计。全球决策者可以将框架应用于识别相似山区的大多数可持续发展地点，并通过私营部门，公共部门和公私伙伴关系对其进行后续实施。

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