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Military Autonomy and Balancing in Political Crises: Lessons From the Middle East

机译:军事自主权和政治危机的平衡:中东的课程

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摘要

This article argues that autonomous militaries can play a balancing role during major internal political crises. However, when militaries’ autonomy is curtailed by political leaders before the crisis, militaries cannot maintain the political balance between rulers and opponents, thereby increasing the risk of armed conflict. The article first explains the main concepts relevant to the discussion (autonomy, political crisis, balancing role), exploring their possible interlinkages and presenting several hypotheses. Subsequently, it discusses four relevant cases from the Middle East before and during the Arab revolts of 2010–2011: Egypt in 2011 and Lebanon in 1958, which demonstrate the balancing capacities of autonomous militaries during major political crises, and Lebanon in 1975 and Syria in 2011, which reveal that nonautonomous militaries cannot play a balancing role in such circumstances. The article concludes with several observations regarding the military’s balancing role during major internal political crises in divided and homogenous states.
机译:本文认为,自治军国民在重大内部政治危机中可以发挥平衡作用。然而,当危机前的政治领导者受到政治领导者的影响时,军队不能维持统治者和反对者之间的政治平衡,从而增加了武装冲突的风险。这篇文章首先向讨论(自主权,政治危机,平衡角色)有关的主要概念,探讨了他们可能的互连并提出了几个假设。随后,它讨论了来自2010 - 2011年阿拉伯革命前后的中东的四个相关案件:2011年和1958年的埃及和黎巴嫩,这展示了在主要政治危机中的自治军队,1975年和叙利亚的平衡能力2011年,揭示了非自治管国军队在这种情况下无法在这种情况下发挥平衡作用。本文缔结了几次关于军方在分歧和均匀国家重大内部政治危机中的平衡作用的观察。

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