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首页> 外文期刊>The Asian Wall Street Journal >Opportunity in Adversity
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Opportunity in Adversity

机译：逆境中的机会

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El Nino, the weather condition that brought devastating fires and droughts to much of Southeast Asia in 1997 and 1998, may be back. What it means for investors depends on where in the market they place their bets. While international investors may not have exposure to agricultural companies directly affected by El Nino, there could be a negative effect on publicly traded companies that depend on domestic demand in Asia. Strength in Southeast Asia's farming sector supported the region's economies during the recent economic slowdown, helping companies including San Miguel in the Philippines and Big C Supercenter in Thailand, enjoy strong sales growth. El Nino could weaken that benevolent cycle. "El Nino is a threat to these domestic economies that we will have to increasingly consider," says Pradumna Rana, economist at the Asian Development Bank in Manila. Yet adversity can also bring opportunity: El Nino may present a chance for savvy investors to profit as it pushes up the price of certain traded commodities, especially coffee and palm oil.
机译：1997年和1998年在东南亚大部分地区造成毁灭性大火和干旱的天气状况可能又回来了。对于投资者来说，这意味着什么取决于他们在市场上的押注。尽管国际投资者可能没有接触直接受到厄尔尼诺现象影响的农业公司，但对依赖亚洲国内需求的上市公司可能会产生负面影响。在最近的经济放缓期间，东南亚农业部门的实力为该地区的经济提供了支持，帮助菲律宾的San Miguel和泰国的Big C Supercenter等公司实现了强劲的销售增长。厄尔尼诺现象可能会削弱这种善意的循环。马尼拉亚洲开发银行（Asian Development Bank）的经济学家普拉多姆纳•拉娜（Pradumna Rana）说：“厄尔尼诺现象对这些国内经济构成了威胁，我们将不得不越来越多地考虑它。”然而逆境也会带来机遇：厄尔尼诺现象可能会给精明的投资者带来获利的机会，因为它会推高某些交易商品的价格，尤其是咖啡和棕榈油。

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