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STATISTICS OF MICROLENSING OPTICAL DEPTH

机译:微透镜光学深度的统计

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We show analytically that the statistical error, α_τ, in estimating the optical depth, τ, due to microlensing is substantially higher than the naive Poisson estimate: σ_τ = (η/N)~(1/2)τ, where N is the number of detections and 1.65 ≤ η approx< 3. We construct a "microlensing map" using an observationally well-constrained barred bulge model and compare this with a map based on an axisymmetric bulge model. The result indicates a significant difference in the distribution of optical depths. If the optical depths are determined over a wide range of positions around the Galactic center, one could make a rudimentary determination of the geometry of the mass distribution of the Galactic bulge by observing ~700-800 events. About 1800 events are required to determine the relative contributions to lensing events by bulge and disk massive compact objects.
机译:我们通过分析显示,由于微透镜,在估计光学深度τ时的统计误差α_τ大大高于朴素的泊松估计:σ_τ=(η/ N)〜(1/2)τ,其中N是数字检测数和1.65≤η约<3。我们使用观察良好约束的条状凸起模型构建“微透镜图”,并将其与基于轴对称凸起模型的图进行比较。结果表明光学深度的分布存在显着差异。如果在银河系中心附近的较宽位置上确定光学深度,则可以通过观测约700-800个事件来初步确定银河系凸起质量分布的几何形状。需要大约1800个事件来确定凸出和盘状大型紧致物体对镜头事件的相对影响。

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