Why Countries Transition? The Case of Brazil, 1964-2016

Lee J. Alston; Marcus Andre Melo; Bernardo Mueller; Carlos Pereira

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Why Countries Transition? The Case of Brazil, 1964-2016

机译：为什么国家要转型？ 1964-2016年的巴西案

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摘要

Economic and political development are contextual. Nevertheless, there are some general elements in the process of institutional persistence and change. We present a framework that goes beyond the standard institutional analysis and adds the concepts of beliefs, leadership, and windows of opportunities in a dynamic process of change. Beliefs of the dominant network may lead countries to choose institutions that do not promote growth and prosperity, even in cases where those in power seek to pursue the common good. Leadership during windows of opportunity helps to determine when, how, and why beliefs change over time. Although each of these concepts alone is not novel in the literature, our major contribution is the evolutionary dynamic. To illustrate the framework, we flesh out the dynamics with a case study of Brazil from 1964 to 2016.

机译：经济和政治发展取决于具体情况。然而，体制的持久性和变革过程中仍存在一些一般性因素。我们提出的框架超出了标准的机构分析范围，并在动态变化的过程中添加了信念，领导力和机会之窗的概念。即使在当权者寻求共同利益的情况下，对主导网络的信仰也可能导致各国选择不促进增长和繁荣的机构。机会之窗中的领导力有助于确定信念随时间变化的时间，方式和原因。尽管仅这些概念在文学中并不新颖，但我们的主要贡献是进化动力。为了说明该框架，我们以1964年至2016年的一个巴西案例研究充实了动态。

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来源
《Atlantic economic journal》 |2016年第2期|197-224|共28页
作者
Lee J. Alston; Marcus Andre Melo; Bernardo Mueller; Carlos Pereira;
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作者单位

Ostrom Workshop and Department of Economics, Indiana University NBER, 513 N Park, Bloomington, IN 47408, USA;

University of Pernambuco, Tv. Prof. Moraes Rego, 1235 - Cidade Universitaria, Recife, PE 50670-901, Brazil;

University of Brasilia, Campus Universitario Darcy Ribeiro, Brasilia, DF 70910-900, Brazil;

School of Public and Business Administration (EBAPE), Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil;

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原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
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关键词
Beliefs; Leadership; Institutions; Windows of opportunity; Brazil; Development;

机译：信念;领导;机构;机会之窗;巴西;发展历程;

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Why Countries Transition? The Case of Brazil, 1964-2016

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