From base-rate to cumulative respect

C. Philip Beaman; Rachel McCloy

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From base-rate to cumulative respect

机译：从基准利率到累积尊重

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The tendency to neglect base-rates in judgment under uncertainty may be "notorious," as Barbey & Sloman (B&S) suggest, but it is neither inevitable (as they document; see also Koehler 1996) nor unique. Here we would like to point out another line of evidence connecting ecological rationality to dual processes, the failure of individuals to appropriately judge cumulative probability.

机译：正如Barbey＆Sloman（B＆S）所暗示的那样，在不确定性条件下忽略基准利率的趋势可能是“臭名昭著的”，但这并不是不可避免的（正如他们所记录的那样；另见Koehler 1996），也不是唯一的。在这里，我们想指出另一条将生态理性与双重过程联系起来的证据，即个人未能正确判断累积概率。

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《Behavioral and Brain Sciences》 |2007年第3期|256-257|共2页
作者
C. Philip Beaman; Rachel McCloy;
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Department of Psychology, University of Reading - Earley Gate, Whiteknights, Reading RG6 6AL, United Kingdom;

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正文语种 eng
中图分类心理学;
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机译：基本速率方面的尊重会影响忽视
2. Base-rate respect: From ecological rationality to dual processes [J] . Aron K. Barbey, Steven A. Sloman Behavioral and Brain Sciences . 2007,第3期

机译：基本费率：从生态合理性到双重过程
3. Base-rate respect: From statistical formats to cognitive structures [J] . Aron K. Barbey, Steven A. Sloman Behavioral and Brain Sciences . 2007,第3期

机译：基本速率方面：从统计格式到认知结构
4. Indirect Visual Displays: Influence of Field-of-Views and Target-Distractor Base-Rates on Decision-Making in a Search-and-Shoot Task [C] . Akash Rao, Chandan Satyarthi, Utkrisht Dhankar, International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics . 2018

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5. Base-rate neglect under direct experience. [D] . Goodie, Adam Sanders. 1997

机译：直接经验下的基本费率忽略。
6. When Success Is Not Enough: The Symptom Base-Rate Can Influence Judgments of Effectiveness of a Successful Treatment [O] . Fernando Blanco, María Manuela Moreno-Fernández, Helena Matute 2020

机译：当成功不够：症状基率可以影响成功治疗的有效性的判断
7. Base-rate respect by intuition: Approximating rational choices in base-rate tasks with multiple cues [O] . Gluf6ckner Andreas, Dickert Stephan 2008

机译：直觉的基本尊重：用多个线索逼近基本速率任务的理性选择

From base-rate to cumulative respect

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