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Evacuation Modelling Analysis Within The Operational Research Context: A Combined Approach For Improving Enclosure Designs

机译:运筹学背景下的疏散建模分析:改进机柜设计的组合方法

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摘要

Evacuation models have been playing an important function in the transition process from prescriptive fire safety codes to performance-based ones over the last three decades. In fact, such models became also useful tools in different tasks within fire safety engineering field, such as fire risks assessment and fire investigation. However, there are some difficulties in this process when using these models. For instance, during the evacuation modelling analysis, a common problem faced by fire safety engineers concerns the number of simulations which needs to be performed. In other terms, which fire designs (i.e., scenarios) should be investigated using the evacuation models? This type of question becomes more complex when specific issues such as the optimal positioning of exits within an arbitrarily structure needs to be addressed. Therefore, this paper presents a methodology which combines the use of evacuation models with numerical techniques used in the operational research field, such as Design of Experiments (DoE), Response Surface Models (RSM) and the numerical optimisation techniques. The methodology here presented is restricted to evacuation modelling analysis, nevertheless this same concept can be extended to fire modelling analysis.
机译:在过去的三十年中,疏散模型在从规范性消防安全规范到基于性能的规范的过渡过程中一直发挥着重要作用。实际上,这样的模型在消防安全工程领域的不同任务中也成为有用的工具,例如火灾风险评估和火灾调查。但是,使用这些模型时,在此过程中存在一些困难。例如,在疏散模型分析期间,消防安全工程师面临的一个常见问题是需要执行的仿真次数。换句话说,应使用疏散模型调查哪些消防设计(即方案)?当需要解决特定问题(例如出口在任意结构内的最佳位置)时,此类问题会变得更加复杂。因此,本文提出了一种将疏散模型的使用与运筹学领域中使用的数值技术相结合的方法,例如实验设计(DoE),响应面模型(RSM)和数值优化技术。这里介绍的方法仅限于疏散模型分析,但是,可以将相同的概念扩展到火灾模型分析。

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