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Ucte Revises 2009-2020 Generation Adequacy Downwards

机译:Ucte下调2009-2020年发电量充足率

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Generation adequacy of the UCTE system should not be at risk up to 2015. About 20 GW of diverse generating capacities would have to be confirmed and commissioned before 2020 to maintain the level of adequacy at an appropriate level. This major drop compared to the 50 GW figure reported in the previous release is mainly due to the number of investments announced in the last months, noticeably gas, hard coal and wind power. Future investments in new generating capacity considered in Best Estimate scenario look sufficient to maintain adequacy up to 2020 at the level of 2009 at least. Yet, these investments might be partially cancelled or postponed in these times of high economic uncertainties. Considering the only investments confirmed today (Conservative scenario A), generating capacity in the whole UCTE should top in 2020 at about 791 GW with already 774 GW in 2015, as most of the investments confirmed today should be operational by 2015.
机译:到2015年,UCTE系统的发电充足率应不会受到威胁。到2020年之前,必须确认并投入使用约20 GW的各种发电容量,以将适当的发电量保持在适当水平。与之前版本中报告的50 GW数字相比,这一主要下降主要是由于最近几个月宣布的投资数量显着,其中包括天然气,硬煤和风力发电。在最佳估计方案中考虑的未来发电能力的未来投资看起来足以至少在2020年保持充足的状态,直到2009年。然而,在经济高度不确定的时期,这些投资可能会被部分取消或推迟。考虑到今天确认的唯一投资(保守情景A),整个UCTE的发电能力应在2020年达到约791 GW的最高水平,2015年已经达到774 GW,因为今天确认的大多数投资应在2015年前投入运营。

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