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Solid biofuels in Mexico: a sustainable alternative to satisfy the increasing demand for heat and power

机译：墨西哥的固体生物燃料：满足不断增长的热能和电力需求的可持续替代品

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摘要

Bioenergy is the largest renewable energy source in Mexico with an estimated 4–9% of total current energy demand. There are large uncertainties and contrasting estimates regarding its current extent and end-uses, particularly with traditional uses. However, a large potential exists to improve the efficiency of existing uses and, at the same time, to diversify the use of SBF in the industrial and power sectors. This paper aims at: providing the first updated and comprehensive estimate of current SBF demand in Mexico including traditional and modern uses; providing a consistent estimate of actual SBF supply potential; estimating the total potential substitution of fossil fuels that could be achieved by SBF considering an integrated “modernization scenario”; and finally describing the main barriers limiting SBF to fully triggering its potential. Results show that current SBF consumption reached 481 PJ/yr in 2015; SBF supply potential reaches 3622 PJ/yr, out of which 883 PJ/yr could be used to substitute up to 29% of current demand of FF, mitigating 66 MtCO~(2e)/yr of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, or near 88 MtCO~(2e)/yr if mitigation from traditional uses is added.
机译：生物能源是墨西哥最大的可再生能源，估计占当前总能源需求的4–9％。关于其目前的范围和最终用途，尤其是传统用途，存在很大的不确定性和不同的估计。但是，存在巨大的潜力来提高现有用途的效率，同时使SBF在工业和电力部门中的用途多样化。本文旨在：对墨西哥当前的SBF需求（包括传统和现代用途）进行首次更新和全面的估算；提供实际SBF供应潜力的一致估算；考虑到综合的“现代化方案”，估算SBF可能实现的化石燃料总替代潜力；最后描述限制SBF完全触发其潜力的主要障碍。结果显示，2015年当前SBF消费量达到481 PJ /年; SBF的供应潜力达到3622 PJ /年，其中883 PJ /年可用于替代高达FF当前需求的29％，从而减少66 MtCO〜（2e）/年的温室气体（GHG）排放，或接近如果添加了传统用途的缓解措施，则每年88 MtCO〜（2e）/年。

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