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机译：法国

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Latest monthly indicators have painted an uncertain picture of activity. Clearly, France is in a recession, and with the downturn having manifested itself across the globe, the economy is unlikely to have bucked Q1's strong downward trend. However, economists are searching for signs that the decline is bottoming out. While our chart (below) shows the decline in GDP forecasts stabilising, data so far have been mixed on that score. Manufactured goods' consumption did post a 1.1 % (m-o-m) gain in March following February's 1.8% contraction.

机译：最新的每月指标已勾勒出不确定的景象。显然，法国正处于经济衰退中，并且全球范围内都已显示出经济衰退，因此经济不太可能逆转第一季度的强劲下滑趋势。然而，经济学家正在寻找迹象表明跌势已经触底。虽然我们的图表（下图）显示GDP预测的下降趋势趋于稳定，但到目前为止，有关该得分的数据好坏参半。继2月份收缩1.8％之后，3月份制成品的消费确实实现了1.1％（月比月）的增长。

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《Consensus Forecasts》 |2009年第5期|10-11|共2页
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FRANCE

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