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机译：法国

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GDP registered a better-than-expected showing in Q2, rising by 0.3% (q-o-q) compared with a 1.4% contraction in the previous two quarters. Growth was supported by household consumption which remained in positive territory on the back of fiscal stimulus measures, including the government's car incentive scheme. However, going into Q3, latest data suggest that consumer activity is stalling. Manufactured goods' consumption contracted by 1.2% (m-o-m) in July and by 1.0% in August following June's 1.5% increase. Meanwhile, July retail trade excluding autos fell by 0.7% (m-o-m), although car purchases soared by 1.2%.

机译：第二季度GDP表现好于预期，环比增长0.3％，前两个季度萎缩1.4％。家庭消费支持增长，而家庭消费在财政刺激措施（包括政府的汽车激励计划）的支持下仍处于正数。然而，进入第三季度，最新数据表明消费者活动正在停滞。在6月份增长1.5％之后，7月份制成品的消费量下降了1.2％（月比月），8月份下降了1.0％。同时，不包括汽车在内的7月零售贸易量同比下降0.7％，尽管汽车购买量增长了1.2％。

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《Consensus Forecasts》 |2009年第10期|10-11|共2页
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