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Incorporating the effect of weather in construction scheduling and management with sine wave curves: application in the United Kingdom

机译:使用正弦波曲线将天气的影响纳入施工计划和管理中:在英国的应用

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摘要

The impact of (adverse) weather is a common cause of delays, legal claims and economic losses in construction projects. Research has recently been carried out aimed at incorporating the effect of weather in project planning; but these studies have focussed on either a narrow set of weather variables, or a very limited range of construction activities or projects. A method for processing a country's historical weather data into a set of weather delay maps for some representative standard construction activities is proposed. Namely, sine curves are used to associate daily combinations of weather variables to delay and provide coefficients for expected productivity losses. A complete case study comprising the construction of these maps and the associated sine waves for the UK is presented along with an example of their use in building construction planning. Findings of this study indicate that UK weather extends project durations by an average of 21%. However, using climatological data derived from weather observations when planning could lead to average reductions in project durations of 16%, with proportional reductions in indirect and overhead costs.
机译:天气(不利)的影响是建筑项目延误,法律索赔和经济损失的常见原因。最近进行了旨在将天气影响纳入项目规划的研究。但是这些研究集中在狭窄的天气变量集或非常有限的建筑活动或项目范围内。提出了一种将国家的历史天气数据处理为一组具有代表性的标准建设活动的天气延迟图的方法。即,正弦曲线用于关联天气变量的每日组合以延迟并提供预期生产力损失的系数。提出了一个完整的案例研究,包括这些地图的构建以及英国的相关正弦波,并举例说明了它们在建筑施工计划中的用法。这项研究的结果表明,英国的天气使项目工期平均延长了21%。但是,在计划时使用来自气象观测的气候数据可能会导致项目工期平均减少16%,间接和间接成本也会相应减少。

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