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Simulating the next South Asian war

机译:模拟下一次南亚战争

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摘要

The three scenarios described in this article as well as the others that were simulated after the May 1998 nuclear tests conducted by India and Pakistan invariably culminated in a nuclear exchange. Significantly, none of the scenarios played in these war-games led to direct international intervention in time to prevent the nuclear holocaust. Also, it emerged that even at the global level, disaster relief capabilities to cater for such an eventuality were woefully inadequate to cater to the millions of casualties and the enormous damage to property. The objective of this article was to highlight how probable a nuclear exchange could be in any future conflict in India and Pakistan and to consolidate in one place, the various analyses that have been conducted of US military war-games focussed on a future conflict in South Asia. The purpose has not been to paint a picture of an impending disaster but to bring to the fore some of the possibilities that the political and military leadership of India and Pakistan must consider while planning the future road-map of their mutual relations.
机译:本文所述的三种情况以及在印度和巴基斯坦于1998年5月进行的核试验之后模拟的其他情况,总是会导致核交换。值得注意的是,在这些战争游戏中所发生的任何情景都没有导致及时的国际干预,以防止核浩劫。同样,人们发现,即使在全球范围内,为应付这种情况而提供的救灾能力也不足以应付数百万的人员伤亡和财产的巨大损失。本文的目的是强调在印度和巴基斯坦未来的任何冲突中核交换的可能性,并在一个地方进行巩固,对美国军事战争的各种分析都集中在南部的未来冲突上。亚洲。这样做的目的不是要描绘即将发生的灾难,而是要突出印度和巴基斯坦的政治和军事领导人在规划未来相互关系路线图时必须考虑的某些可能性。

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