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Unit root modeling for trending stock market series

机译:趋势股票市场系列的单位根建模

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In this paper, we examine how the unit root for stock market series should be modeled. We employ the Narayan and Liu (2015) trend GARCH-based unit root and its variants in order to more carefully capture the inherent statistical behavior of the series. We utilize daily, weekly and monthly data covering nineteen countries across the regions of America, Asia and Europe. We find that the nature of data frequency matters for unit root testing when dealing with stock market data. Our evidence also suggests that stock market data is better modeled in the presence of structural breaks, conditional heteroscedasticity and time trend.
机译:在本文中,我们研究了股票市场序列的单位根应如何建模。为了更仔细地捕捉该系列的内在统计行为,我们采用了基于Naarchan和Liu(2015)基于GARCH趋势的单位根及其变体。我们利用每日,每周和每月的数据覆盖美洲,亚洲和欧洲地区的19个国家/地区。我们发现,在处理股市数据时,数据频率的本质对于单位根测试至关重要。我们的证据还表明,在存在结构性断裂,有条件的异方差和时间趋势的情况下,可以更好地模拟股市数据。

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