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首页> 外文期刊>Bulletin of the World Health Organization >Comparing road traffic mortality rates from police-reported data and death registration data in China
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Comparing road traffic mortality rates from police-reported data and death registration data in China

机译：从中国警方报告的数据和死亡登记数据比较道路交通死亡率

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Objective To compare death rates from road traffic injuries in China in 2002–2007 when derived from police-reported data versus death registration data. Methods In China, police-recorded data are obtained from police records by means of a standardized, closed-ended data collection form; these data are published in the China statistical yearbook of communication and transportation . Official death registration data, on the other hand, are obtained from death certificates completed by physicians and are published in the China health statistics yearbook . We searched both sources for data on road traffic deaths in 2002–2007, used the χ 2 test to compare the mortality rates obtained, and performed linear regression to look for statistically significant trends in road traffic mortality over the period. Findings For 2002–2007, the rate of death from road traffic injuries based on death registration data was about twice as high as the rate reported by the police. Linear regression showed a significant decrease of 27% (95% confidence interval, CI: 35–19) in the death rate over the period according to police sources but no significant change according to death registration data. Conclusion The widely-cited recent drop in road traffic mortality in China, based on police-reported data, may not reflect a genuine decrease. The quality of the data obtained from police reports, which drives decision-making by the Government of China and international organizations, needs to be investigated, monitored and improved.
机译：目的比较从2002年至2007年中国警方报告的数据与死亡登记数据得出的道路交通伤害死亡率。方法在中国，警察记录的数据是通过标准化，封闭式数据收集表从警察记录中获取的;这些数据发表在《中国交通运输统计年鉴》上。另一方面，官方的死亡登记数据是从医生填写的死亡证明中获得的，并发布在《中国卫生统计年鉴》上。我们在这两个来源中搜索了2002-2007年道路交通死亡的数据，使用χ 2 检验比较了所获得的死亡率，并进行了线性回归，以寻找该地区道路交通死亡率的统计显着趋势。期。调查结果2002-2007年，根据死亡登记数据，道路交通伤害造成的死亡率约为警察报告的死亡率的两倍。根据警察的资料，线性回归显示该期间的死亡率显着下降了27％（95％置信区间，CI：35-19），但根据死亡登记数据却没有显着变化。结论根据警方报告的数据，最近被广泛引用的中国道路交通死亡率下降可能未反映出真正的下降。从警察报告中获得的数据质量，这将推动中国政府和国际组织的决策，需要对其进行调查，监测和改进。

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