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Volatility Transmission from Mature Global Stock Markets to Middle East and North African Stock Markets

机译:从成熟的全球股票市场到中东和北非股票市场的波动传递

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The objective of this paper is to model the dynamics of volatility transmission from mature global stock markets of France, Germany, UK and the US to MENA (Middle East and North African) markets of Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Tunisia, and the United Arab Emirates. GARCH, TGARCH models of returns are estimated to determine evidence of volatility spillover from global mature markets to emerging or less mature markets of MENA region. We find evidence of different level of volatility spillover and leverage effect. This varying response to global stock market shocks reveals that MENA stock markets are not fully integrated with global economy.
机译:本文的目的是模拟从法国,德国,英国和美国的成熟全球股票市场到巴林,埃及,约旦,科威特,黎巴嫩,摩洛哥,中东,北非和中东(MENA)市场的波动传递动力学。阿曼,卡塔尔,突尼斯和阿拉伯联合酋长国。估计了GARCH,TGARCH收益模型,以确定从全球成熟市场到中东北非地区新兴市场或较不成熟市场的波动溢出证据。我们发现了不同程度的波动溢出和杠杆效应的证据。对全球股市冲击的不同反应表明,中东和北非股市未与全球经济完全融合。

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