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Pricing Exotic Options under a High-Order Markovian Regime Switching Model

机译:高阶马尔可夫体制切换模型下的异国期权定价

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We consider the pricing of exotic options when the price dynamics of the underlying risky asset are governedby a discrete-time Markovian regime-switching process driven by an observable, high-order Markov model (HOMM). We assume that the market interest rate, the drift, and the volatility of the underlying risky asset's return switch over time according to the states of the HOMM, which are interpreted as the states of an economy. We will then employ the well-known tool in actuarial science, namely, the Esscher transform to determine an equivalent martingale measure for option valuation. Moreover, we will also investigate the impact of the high-order effect of the states of the economy on the prices of some path-dependent exotic options, such as Asian options, lookback options, and barrier options.
机译:当基础风险资产的价格动态受可观察的高阶马尔可夫模型(HOMM)驱动的离散时间马尔可夫政权转换过程支配时,我们考虑异国期权的定价。我们假设根据HOMM的状态(被解释为经济状态),潜在风险资产收益率的市场利率,漂移和波动会随时间变化。然后,我们将使用精算科学中众所周知的工具(即Esscher变换)来确定期权估值的等效mar测度。此外,我们还将研究经济状况的高阶效应对某些依赖路径的外来期权价格的影响,例如亚洲期权,回溯期权和障碍期权。

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