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Studying the volatility effect of agricultural exports on agriculture share of GDP: The case of Egypt

机译：研究农产品出口对农业占国内生产总值的波动性影响：以埃及为例

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This article aims to examine the long and short run relationship between agricultural exports and agriculture share of GDP. Links between series considered are assessed by co-integration analysis using Johansen co-integration technique and ECM-GARCH. Results indicate a positive link in the short and long term between agricultural exports and agriculture share of GDP, as well as co-integration between the pairs of series used. Also it can be found that increases in agricultural exports were followed by increases in agriculture share of GDP. Agriculture exports and agriculture share of GDP elasticities are 0.62. The past shocks and agricultural exports increased agriculture share of GDP volatility.Key word:? Agricultural exports, agricultural economic growth, co-integration analysis, Johansen co-integration, ECM-GARCH.
机译：本文旨在考察农业出口与农业占GDP的长期和短期关系。通过使用Johansen协整技术和ECM-GARCH的协整分析来评估所考虑系列之间的联系。结果表明，短期和长期内农业出口与农业占国内生产总值之间的正相关关系，以及所使用的成对序列之间的协整关系。还可以发现，在农业出口增加之后，农业在国内生产总值中所占份额增加了。农业出口和农业在GDP弹性中的份额为0.62。过去的冲击和农产品出口增加了农业在GDP波动中的比重。农产品出口，农业经济增长，协整分析，约翰逊协整，ECM-GARCH。

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