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首页> 外文期刊>Asian Transport Studies >Examining the Important Factors Affecting the Decision to Cease Driving by Elder Drivers: Case Study of Toyota City, Japan
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Examining the Important Factors Affecting the Decision to Cease Driving by Elder Drivers: Case Study of Toyota City, Japan

机译：研究影响老年驾驶员停止驾驶决定的重要因素：以日本丰田市为例

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This study aims to investigate important factors affecting intention for ceasing driving in the local city in Japan. 321 elder driver data collected in Toyota City are used for empirical analysis. One trivariate ordered probit model is used to measure anxiety about driving, the intention for continuing driving and that for surrendering driving licenses in one framework. The Gibbs Sampler algorithm is applied to estimate the unknown parameters. The major findings indicate: 1) elder drivers more than 74 years old are willing to return their driving licenses compared to elder drivers between 69 and 74 years old; 2) elder drivers liking to drive are unwilling to cease driving compared to other drivers; 3) there is a synergetic effect between anxiety about driving with intention for surrendering driving licenses; and 4) there is a complementary effect between intention for continuing driving and that for returning driving licenses as we expected.
机译：这项研究旨在调查影响日本当地城市停止驾驶意图的重要因素。丰田市收集的321位老年驾驶员数据用于经验分析。一个三变量有序概率模型用于衡量对驾驶，继续驾驶的意图以及在一个框架中交出驾驶执照的焦虑。 Gibbs采样器算法用于估计未知参数。主要研究结果表明：1）74岁以上的老年人愿意退还驾驶执照，而69岁至74岁的老年人则愿意退还驾驶执照。 2）与其他司机相比，喜欢开车的年长司机不愿意停止开车; 3）驾驶焦虑与交出驾驶执照之间存在协同作用; （4）继续驾驶的意图和归还驾驶执照的意图之间有我们预期的互补效果。

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