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Short- and and Long-Run Structural International Tourism Demand Modeling Based on the Dynamic AIDS Model: Empirical Research in Japan

机译:基于动态艾滋病模型的短期和长期结构性国际旅游需求模型:日本的实证研究

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When proposing policies that aim to promote inbound and outbound tourism markets, there should be a focus not only on the tourism demand in a certain region but also on interregional relationships. To address this issue, we have developed the methodology for the quantitative analysis of tourism demand structure by focusing on the elasticity of destination choice activities. The demand function of destination choice activities is defined as a Dynamic AIDS (Almost Ideal Demand System) model. The main goal of this research is to examine the applicability of the AIDS models to the estimation of Japanese international tourism demand.
机译:在提出旨在促进入境和出境旅游市场的政策时,不仅应重点关注某个地区的旅游需求,而且还应重点关注地区间的关系。为了解决这个问题,我们通过关注目的地选择活动的弹性,开发了用于定量分析旅游需求结构的方法。目的地选择活动的需求函数定义为动态AIDS(几​​乎理想的需求系统)模型。这项研究的主要目的是检验艾滋病模型在日本国际旅游需求估计中的适用性。

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