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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health >Increase of Elderly Population in the Rainstorm Hazard Areas of China
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Increase of Elderly Population in the Rainstorm Hazard Areas of China

机译:中国暴雨危险地区老年人口的增加

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In light of global warming, increased extreme precipitation events have enlarged the population exposed to floods to some extent. Extreme precipitation risk assessments are of great significance in China and allow for the response to climate change and mitigation of risks to the population. China is one of the countries most influenced by climate change and has unique national population conditions. The influence of extreme precipitation depends on the degree of exposure and vulnerability of the population. Accurate assessments of the population exposed to rising rainstorm trends are crucial to mapping extreme precipitation risks. Studying the population exposed to rainstorm hazard areas (RSHA) at the microscale is extremely urgent, due to the local characteristics of extreme precipitation events and regional diversity of the population. The spatial distribution of population density was mapped based on the national population census data from China in 1990, 2000 and 2010. RSHA were also identified using precipitation data from 1975–2015 in China, and the rainstorm tendency values were mapped using GIS in this paper. The spatial characteristics of the rainstorm tendencies were then analyzed. Finally, changes in the population in the RSHA are discussed. The results show that the extreme precipitation trends are increasing in southeastern China. From 1990 to 2010, the population in RSHA increased by 110 million, at a rate of 14.6%. The elderly in the region increased by 38 million at a rate of 86.4%. Studying the size of the population exposed to rainstorm hazards at the county scale can provide scientific evidence for developing disaster prevention and mitigation strategies from the bottom up.
机译:鉴于全球变暖,极端降水事件的增加在一定程度上扩大了遭受洪灾的人口。极端降水风险评估在中国具有重要意义,可以应对气候变化并减轻人口风险。中国是受气候变化影响最大的国家之一,拥有独特的人口条件。极端降水的影响取决于人口的暴露程度和脆弱性。准确评估遭受暴雨趋势上升的人口,对于绘制极端降雨风险至关重要。由于极端降水事件的局部特征和人口的区域多样性,因此从微观上研究暴露于暴雨危险区域(RSHA)的人口非常紧急。根据1990、2000和2010年中国全国人口普查数据绘制了人口密度的空间分布图。还利用1975-2015年中国的降水数据确定了RSHA,并利用GIS绘制了暴雨趋势值。然后分析了暴雨趋势的空间特征。最后,讨论了RSHA中人口的变化。结果表明,中国东南部的极端降水趋势正在增加。从1990年到2010年,RSHA的人口增加了1.1亿,增长率为14.6%。该地区的老年人增加了3800万,增长率为86.4%。在县级范围内研究遭受暴雨危害的人口规模可以为从下至上制定防灾减灾策略提供科学依据。

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