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The Use of a Quasi-Experimental Study on the Mortality Effect of a Heat Wave Warning System in Korea

机译:在韩国使用热浪预警系统的死亡率效应的拟实验研究

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Many cities and countries have implemented heat wave warning systems to combat the health effects of extreme heat. Little is known about whether these systems actually reduce heat-related morbidity and mortality. We examined the effectiveness of heat wave alerts and health plans in reducing the mortality risk of heat waves in Korea by utilizing the discrepancy between the alerts and the monitored temperature. A difference-in-differences analysis combined with propensity score weighting was used. Mortality, weather monitoring, and heat wave alert announcement data were collected for 7 major cities during 2009–2014. Results showed evidence of risk reduction among people aged 19–64 without education (?0.144 deaths/1,000,000 people, 95% CI: ?0.227, ?0.061) and children aged 0–19 (?0.555 deaths/1,000,000 people, 95% CI: ?0.993, ?0.117). Decreased cardiovascular and respiratory mortality was found in several subgroups including single persons, widowed people, blue-collar workers, people with no education or the highest level of education (university or higher). No evidence was found for decreased all-cause mortality in the population (1.687 deaths/1,000,000 people per day; 95% CI: 1.118, 2.255). In conclusion, heat wave alerts may reduce mortality for several causes and subpopulations of age and socio-economic status. Further work needs to examine the pathways through which the alerts impact subpopulations differently.
机译:许多城市和国家已经实施了热浪预警系统,以应对极端高温对健康的影响。这些系统是否真正降低了与热相关的发病率和死亡率,鲜为人知。我们通过利用警报与监测温度之间的差异,研究了热浪警报和健康计划在降低韩国热浪死亡风险中的有效性。差异分析与倾向得分加权结合使用。在2009-2014年期间收集了7个主要城市的死亡率,天气监测和热浪警报公告数据。结果表明,有证据表明在未受教育的19-64岁的人群中有降低的风险(0.144死亡/ 1,000,000人,95%CI:0.227,0.061)和0-19岁的儿童(0.555死亡/ 1,000,000人,95%CI:95.CI): (0.993、0.117)。在几个亚组中发现了降低的心血管和呼吸道死亡率,包括单身者,丧偶者,蓝领工人,未受教育或受过最高教育(大学或更高水平)的人。未发现降低全因死亡率的证据(每天1.687例死亡/ 1,000,000人; 95%CI:1.118,2.255)。总之,热浪警报可以降低年龄和社会经济地位的多种原因和亚群的死亡率。进一步的工作需要检查警报对子群体产生不同影响的途径。

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