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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health >The Lag Effects and Vulnerabilities of Temperature Effects on Cardiovascular Disease Mortality in a Subtropical Climate Zone in China
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The Lag Effects and Vulnerabilities of Temperature Effects on Cardiovascular Disease Mortality in a Subtropical Climate Zone in China

机译：亚热带气候区心血管疾病死亡率的时滞效应和温度效应脆弱性

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摘要

This research quantifies the lag effects and vulnerabilities of temperature effects on cardiovascular disease in Changsha—a subtropical climate zone of China. A Poisson regression model within a distributed lag nonlinear models framework was used to examine the lag effects of cold- and heat-related CVD mortality. The lag effect for heat-related CVD mortality was just 0–3 days. In contrast, we observed a statistically significant association with 10–25 lag days for cold-related CVD mortality. Low temperatures with 0–2 lag days increased the mortality risk for those ≥65 years and females. For all ages, the cumulative effects of cold-related CVD mortality was 6.6% (95% CI: 5.2%–8.2%) for 30 lag days while that of heat-related CVD mortality was 4.9% (95% CI: 2.0%–7.9%) for 3 lag days. We found that in Changsha city, the lag effect of hot temperatures is short while the lag effect of cold temperatures is long. Females and older people were more sensitive to extreme hot and cold temperatures than males and younger people.
机译：这项研究量化了长沙这一中国亚热带气候区对心血管疾病的滞后效应和温度效应的脆弱性。分布滞后非线性模型框架内的Poisson回归模型用于检查与冷热相关的CVD死亡率的滞后效应。与热相关的CVD死亡率的滞后效应仅为0–3天。相比之下，我们观察到与感冒相关的CVD死亡率与10-25个滞后天之间具有统计学意义的关联。带有0–2个滞后天的低温会增加≥65岁女性的死亡率。在所有年龄段中，与寒冷相关的CVD死亡率在30天的累积累积累积率为6.6％（95％CI：5.2％–8.2％），而与热相关的CVD死亡率累积影响为4.9％（95％CI：2.0％– 7.9％），持续3天。我们发现在长沙市，高温的滞后效应较短，而低温的滞后效应较长。与男性和年轻人相比，女性和老年人对极端高温和低温更加敏感。

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