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Overview and Comparison of Short-term Interval Models for Financial Time Series Forecasting

机译:金融时间序列预测的短期时间间隔模型概述与比较

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In recent years, various time series models have been proposed for financial markets forecasting. In each case, the accuracy of time series forecasting models are fundamental to make decision and hence the research for improving the effectiveness of forecasting models have been curried on. Many researchers have compared different time series models together in order to determine more efficient once in financial markets. In this paper, the performance of four interval time series models including autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), fuzzy autoregressive integrated moving average (FARIMA), hybrid ANNs and fuzzy (FANN) and Improved FARIMA models are compared together. Empirical results of exchange rate forecasting indicate that the FANN model is more satisfactory than other those models. Therefore, it can be a suitable alternative model for interval forecasting of financial time series.
机译:近年来,已经提出了用于金融市场预测的各种时间序列模型。在每种情况下,时间序列预测模型的准确性都是做出决策的基础,因此,人们一直在进行有关提高预测模型有效性的研究。许多研究人员将不同的时间序列模型进行了比较,以便确定一次在金融市场上的效率。在本文中,将自回归综合移动平均值(ARIMA),模糊自回归综合移动平均值(FARIMA),混合人工神经网络和模糊(FANN)和改进FARIMA模型这四个间隔时间序列模型的性能进行了比较。汇率预测的经验结果表明,FANN模型比其他模型更令人满意。因此,它可能是金融时间序列的区间预测的合适替代模型。

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