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Shifts in euro area Beveridge curves and their determinants

机译:欧元区贝弗里奇曲线的变动及其决定因素

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Abstract This paper analyses euro area Beveridge curves at the euro area aggregate and country level over the past 25 years. Using an autoregressive distributed lag model, we find a significant outward shift and flattening of the euro area Beveridge curve since the onset of the crisis, but considerable heterogeneity at country level. We test for factors underlying these developments using the local projection method of Jordà (Am Econ Rev 95(1):161–182, 2005). Skill mismatch and high shares of construction workers, as well as high home ownership rates appear strong determinants of the outward shifts in Beveridge curves. Higher female participation rates mitigate these effects. JEL Classification: J62, J63, E24, E32
机译:摘要本文分析了过去25年中欧元区总和国家层面的贝弗里奇曲线。使用自回归分布滞后模型,我们发现自危机爆发以来,欧元区贝弗里奇曲线出现了显着的向外移动和扁平化,但是在国家层面却存在很大的异质性。我们使用Jordà(Am Econ Rev 95(1):161-182,2005)的局部投影方法测试这些发展的潜在因素。技能不匹配,建筑工人比例高以及房屋拥有率高似乎是贝弗里奇曲线外移的重要决定因素。女性参与率的提高减轻了这些影响。 JEL分类:J62,J63,E24,E32

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