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Uncertainty and Fuzzy Decisions in Earthquake Risk Evaluation of Buildings

机译:建筑地震风险评估中的不确定性和模糊决策

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The Northern region of Thailand has been considered as one of the seismic risk zones. However, most existing buildings in the area had been designed and constructed based on old building design codes without seismic consideration. Therefore, those buildings are required to upgrade based on earthquake building damage risk evaluation. With resource limitations, it is not feasible to retrofit all buildings in a short period. In addition, the results of the risk evaluation contain uncertain inputs and outputs. The objective of this study is to prioritize building retrofit based on fuzzy earthquake risk assessment. The risk assessment of a building was made considering the risk factors including (1) building vulnerability, (2) seismic intensity and (3) building values. Then, the total risk was calculated by integrating all the risk factors with their uncertainties using a fuzzy rule based model. An example of the retrofit prioritization is shown here considering the three fuzzy factors. The ranking is hospital, temple, school, government building, factory and house, respectively. The result helps decision makers to screen and prioritize the building retrofitting in the seismically prone area.
机译:泰国北部地区被认为是地震危险区之一。但是,该地区大多数现有建筑物都是根据旧建筑设计规范设计和建造的,没有考虑地震。因此,这些建筑物需要根据地震建筑物损坏风险评估进行升级。由于资源的限制,在短时间内对所有建筑物进行翻新是不可行的。此外,风险评估的结果包含不确定的输入和输出。这项研究的目的是基于模糊地震风险评估确定建筑物改造的优先级。考虑到以下风险因素,对建筑物进行了风险评估:(1)建筑脆弱性,(2)地震烈度和(3)建筑价值。然后,通过使用基于模糊规则的模型将所有风险因素及其不确定性进行积分来计算总风险。考虑到三个模糊因素,此处显示了改造优先级的示例。排名分别是医院,寺庙,学校,政府大楼,工厂和房屋。结果有助于决策者筛选和确定地震易发地区的建筑物改造的优先次序。

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