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首页> 外文期刊>European Journal of Business and Management >Students Flow in Private Universities in Nigeria: A Markov Chain Modelling Approach
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Students Flow in Private Universities in Nigeria: A Markov Chain Modelling Approach

机译：尼日利亚私立大学的学生流动：马尔可夫链建模方法

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The emergence of Private Universities in Nigeria is expected to help the flow and progression of students. Hence, this paper applies Markov Chain modelling to flows of students. The population of the study includes all students undertaking four-year programmes at a private University. The Faculty of Social and Management Sciences is chosen as a convenience sample. This Faculty has six departments for which secondary data are available for 2004/2005 to 2013/2014 sessions. Available data were analysed using the Matlab software. The results revealed that the probability of a student repeating a grade year influences the expected length of time of stay in the programme. Also, the study found that the average time a student spent at each level of the programme ranged from 1.14 to 1.43 sessions; the expected time it took a student to reach the wastage or graduation absorbing states ranged from a minimum of 1.4714 sessions (in 400 level) to a maximum of 4.7463 sessions (in 100 level). Furthermore, the probability of a student reaching a wastage absorbing state continuously decreased in all Departments and ranged from a maximum of 0.43 (in 100 level) to a minimum of 0.01 (in 400 level). A reverse trend in the probability of reaching a wastage absorbing state was however exhibited for the probability of a student reaching a graduating absorbing state. Finally, for the students sampled, the wastage ratio varied from 1.49 to 3.87, while the coefficient of efficiency was between 25.84 and 67.32.We concluded that Sociology and Anthropology Department has the highest level of efficiency of students progression in the Faculty.
机译：尼日利亚私立大学的出现有望帮助学生的流动和进步。因此，本文将马尔可夫链模型应用于学生流。研究人群包括在一所私立大学攻读四年制课程的所有学生。社会和管理科学学院被选为方便样本。该学院有六个系，可提供2004/2005年至2013/2014年届会的辅助数据。使用Matlab软件分析可用数据。结果表明，学生重复读一年级的概率会影响该课程的预期停留时间。此外，研究还发现，学生在该计划的每个级别花费的平均时间为1.14至1.43节。学生达到浪费或毕业吸收状态所需的时间从最少1.4714节（400级）到最多4.7463节（100级）。此外，学生在所有系中达到浪费吸收状态的可能性不断降低，范围从最大值0.43（100级）到最小值0.01（400级）。然而，对于学生达到渐进吸收状态的可能性，呈现出达到浪费吸收状态的可能性的相反趋势。最后，对于样本学生，浪费率从1.49到3.87不等，效率系数在25.84和67.32之间。我们得出结论，社会学和人类学系的学生进步效率是该系中最高的。

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