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Simultaneous inference of the mean of functional time series

机译:功能时间序列均值的同时推断

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For functional time series with physical dependence, we construct confidence bands for its mean function. The physical dependence is a general dependence framework, and it slightly relaxes the conditions of m-approximable dependence. We estimate functional time series mean functions via a spline smoothing technique. Confidence bands have been constructed based on a long-run variance and a strong approximation theorem, which is satisfied with mild regularity conditions. Simulation experiments provide strong evidence that corroborates the asymptotic theories. Additionally, an application to S&P500 index data demonstrates a non-constant volatility mean function at a certain significance level.
机译:对于具有物理依赖性的函数时间序列,我们为其平均函数构造置信带。物理依赖性是一个通用的依赖性框架,它稍微放松了m近似依赖性的条件。我们通过样条平滑技术来估计函数时间序列均值函数。基于长期方差和强逼近定理构建了置信带,并用温和的规律性条件满足了这一要求。仿真实验提供了强有力的证据,证实了渐近理论。此外,对S&P500指数数据的应用证明了在一定显着性水平下的非恒定波动均值函数。

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