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What corporations do with foresight

机译:公司凭远见做什么

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Abstract Foresight involves future-oriented awareness and planning, enabling businesses to respond quickly and effectively to future market threats and opportunities. However, knowledge about corporate foresight practices and outcomes is limited. Corporations interested in implementing foresight are unable to identify best practices or anticipate results from foresight activities. Therefore, this qualitative, multiple holistic case study was a foundational investigation of foresight phenomenon within contemporary American corporations. A convenience sample of 14 foresight practitioners represented American corporations or American divisions of European corporations actively using foresight. Interview queries aligned with the guiding research questions explored corporate foresight methods and outcomes. Interview data were coded and synthesized for thematic report of common and unique responses; this documented practices used in and outcomes derived from corporate foresight. Foresight practitioners revealed specific actions taken by corporations in response to foresight outcomes. Actions included organizational changes, introduction of new products or product variations, new research and development projects, and inclusion of foresight project outputs such as reports, presentations, recommendations, in departmental plans. The findings suggested standardization of terminology for professional discourse, education, and practice, would benefit practitioners and corporations. Four tenets emerging from the themes were short-termism, corporate culture, implementation, and feedback loop; these tenets should guide future use of foresight in the context of for-profit corporations.
机译:摘要前瞻涉及面向未来的意识和计划,使企业能够快速有效地应对未来的市场威胁和机遇。但是,有关公司前瞻性做法和成果的知识是有限的。有兴趣实施远见卓识的公司无法确定最佳实践或无法预测远见卓识。因此,这个定性的,多方面的整体案例研究是当代美国公司中预见性现象的基础研究。由14位有远见的从业人员提供的便利样本代表了积极使用前瞻性的美国公司或欧洲公司的美国部门。面试查询与指导性研究问题相吻合,探讨了公司的预见方法和成果。采访数据经过编码和合成,以形成常见和独特回应的专题报告;该文件记录了公司预见中使用的实践和结果。有远见的从业者透露了企业为应对有远见的结果而采取的具体行动。行动包括组织变更,引入新产品或产品变型,新研发项目,以及将预见性项目输出(例如报告,演示文稿,建议)纳入部门计划。研究结果表明,专业话语,教育和实践的术语标准化将使从业者和公司受益。主题出现的四个原则是短期主义,企业文化,实施和反馈循环。这些原则应指导营利性公司在未来使用远见。

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