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Business Environment-Based Risk Model for the Container Liner Shipping Industry

机译:基于业务环境的集装箱班轮运输行业风险模型

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Container liner shipping is a risky industry. There are many unexpected risks and uncertainties in extended journey around the world which can be the result of external events such as political actions, economic situation and natural disasters. The impact of these external risks can be devastating. In this paper, a new business environment-based risk (BEBR) model for prioritising and assessing the external risk criteria in the CLSI, is developed. The term BEBR can be defined as a wider scope of external risks including political risks, economic risks, social risks and natural hazards that directly or indirectly influence the business performances in the CLSI. An analytic hierarchy process (AHP) approach is employed to prioritise the importance of risk criteria and is adapted into a deterministic weight factor in the context of risk impact level. So far, no study has been found that developed this model for the CLSI which highlights a significant research gap to be fulfilled. Based on the test case, the result has shown that economic risks are the most significant main criteria in the BEBR model, followed by political risks, natural hazards and social risks. For future research, this paper recommends a quantitative risk analysis for assessing the targeted or whole risk criteria in the BEBR model. Keywords: business environment-based risk (BEBR), container liner shipping industry (CLSI), analytic hierarchy process (AHP), prioritisation.
机译:集装箱班轮运输是一个危险的行业。由于政治事件,经济形势和自然灾害等外部事件的影响,世界各地的长途旅行存在许多意想不到的风险和不确定性。这些外部风险的影响可能是灾难性的。本文中,开发了一种新的基于业务环境的风险(BEBR)模型,用于对CLSI中的外部风险标准进行优先级排序和评估。 BEBR一词可定义为范围更广的外部风险,包括直接或间接影响CLSI业务绩效的政治风险,经济风险,社会风险和自然危害。采用层次分析法(AHP)来确定风险标准的重要性,并在风险影响水平的背景下将其调整为确定性的权重因子。迄今为止,还没有发现为CLSI开发此模型的研究,该研究突出了需要填补的重大研究空白。根据测试案例,结果表明,经济风险是BEBR模型中最重要的主要标准,其次是政治风险,自然危害和社会风险。对于将来的研究,本文建议进行定量风险分析,以评估BEBR模型中的目标或整体风险标准。关键字:基于业务环境的风险(BEBR),集装箱班轮运输业(CLSI),层次分析法(AHP),优先级排序。

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