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Targeting migration with limited control: the case of the UK and the EU

机译:以有限的控制为目标的移民:英国和欧盟的情况

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Abstract Since 2010 the UK Government has aimed to reduce net-migration. The UK Government cannot restrict EEA migration, and it has focused instead on restricting non-EEA migration, including closing routes intended for non-EEA high-skilled workers. We identify a possible substitution effect in this context: restricting one type of migration may lead to an increase in an unrestricted type (i.e., ‘balloon effect’). We present evidence which is consistent with this substitution effect for the case of high-skilled migrant workers in the UK. We also construct counterfactual estimates of the number of different types of migrant workers in the UK with pre-policies conditions.
机译:摘要自2010年以来,英国政府一直致力于减少网络移民。英国政府不能限制EEA移民,而是集中精力限制非EEA移民,包括关闭非EEA高技能工人的路线。在这种情况下,我们确定了可能的替代效应:限制一种类型的迁移可能会导致非限制性类型的迁移增加(即“气球效应”)。我们提供的证据与英国高技能移民工人的这种替代效应相符。我们还对在不符合政策条件的情况下英国不同类型的农民工数量进行了反事实估计。

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