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Climate Change-Induced Migration in Coastal Bangladesh? A Critical Assessment of Migration Drivers in Rural Households under Economic and Environmental Stress

机译:气候变化导致的孟加拉国沿海地区迁徙?对经济和环境压力下农村家庭移民驱动因素的批判性评估

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Discussions of climate migration have recognized the need for probabilistic, systematic, and empirical analyses. We examine the importance of environmental stressors in migration using a multi-leveled analysis of a household survey of the climate-stressed rural communities of coastal Bangladesh. We find that a relatively small share (6.5%) of rural coastal people have migrated, overwhelmingly domestically and on a temporary basis. The main motives are better employment opportunities in urban areas, marriage/family reunification, and education. About a third are displaced by flooding that created loss of arable land. Being male, younger, and working outside of agriculture facilitate migration, and also those with greater human and horizontal social capital are more likely to migrate. Exposure to severe river erosion, residing closer to major waterways and in saltwater shrimp farming zones spur migration. Climate migration is in its first instance economic-induced with environmental stress contributing as a secondary factor.
机译:关于气候迁移的讨论已经认识到需要进行概率,系统和实证分析。我们使用对孟加拉国沿海地区气候压力农村社区的家庭调查的多层次分析,研究了环境压力因素在移民中的重要性。我们发现,相对较小的一部分(6.5%)农村沿海人口是移徙者,绝大多数是在国内和临时地迁移。其主要动机是在城市地区获得更好的就业机会,婚姻/家庭团聚和教育。大约三分之一的人因洪水而流离失所,造成了耕地的流失。男性,年轻和在农业以外的地方工作有助于移民,而且人力资本和横向社会资本较高的人也更有可能移民。靠近主要水道和盐水虾养殖区的河道遭受严重侵蚀,促使迁移。气候迁移最初是由经济引起的,而环境压力是次要因素。

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