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Political budget cycles at the municipal level in Croatia

机译:克罗地亚市政一级的政治预算周期

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This paper examines the existence of the political budget cycle (PBC) at the local unit level in Croatia. The research was focused on a sample of 19 county centres, the City of Zagreb and Pula in the period from 2002 to 2011. During that time three parliamentary (in 2003, 2007 and in 2011) and two local elections (in 2005 and in 2009) were held and all the results are calculated at the level of the selected cities. The results do not confirm the existence of opportunistic PBCs, either when the analysis takes in all five elections or when it considers only the parliamentary polls. They do however indicate the restructuring of total expenditures based on second-best strategies and institutional constraints. Analysis of local elections alone indicates the existence of Rogoff's model of information asymmetry. The paper also presents various theoretical models of the PBC together with a survey of empirical research regarding the existence of PBCs in the developed, transitional and developing countries.
机译:本文研究了克罗地亚地方部门一级政治预算周期(PBC)的存在。该研究集中于2002年至2011年期间的19个县中心,萨格勒布市和普拉市的样本。在此期间,三个议会(分别在2003年,2007年和2011年)和两次地方选举(2005年和2009年) ),并在所选城市一级计算所有结果。无论是在五次选举中进行分析还是仅考虑议会民意调查,结果都无法确定是否存在机会主义的人民广播公司。但是,它们的确表明了基于次优策略和体制约束的总支出结构调整。仅对地方选举的分析就表明存在Rogoff的信息不对称模型。本文还介绍了PBC的各种理论模型,以及对发达国家,转型国家和发展中国家中PBC存在的实证研究的调查。

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