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Food security and food self‐sufficiency in China: from past to 2050

机译：中国的粮食安全和粮食自给自足：从过去到2050年

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AbstractReducing hunger and malnutrition and improving food security have come to the forefront of global political agenda. In the wake of recent spells of food price hike, national and supranational development organizations and governments have begun to express serious concerns about the world's capacity to feed its burgeoning population. In response to the target of increasing food production by 70% in 2050, many countries are formulating their agricultural policies to promote domestic food self-sufficiency and many are building international networks for outsourcing food supply beyond national borders. In the face of massive demand for food for its growing population, China is both strengthening its food self-sufficiency strategies and relying on large-scale imports from international market which has been a major driver of food price inflation in recent years. In China, increase in income and socioeconomic status on one hand have dramatically improved dietary intake and overall nutritional status of the population, and are creating an enormous pressure on land and water resources and natural environments on the other. Maintaining food and water security and for its huge population with its limited resources while at the same time sustaining the economic growth momentum are offering significant challenges to China's macroeconomic prospects. China's domestic food production and self-sufficiency status have certain repercussions on the volatility of global agri-food market and food security in food-import and food-aid-dependent countries. The objectives of this study is to provide an in-depth overview of China's food production and demand scenario with a particular focus on its challenging perspectives toward food secure 2050. The first half of the paper is designed to show recent trends in food production and consumption and the impacts on global food market. The second half describes the major challenges with a brief discussion on policy implication.
机译：摘要减少饥饿和营养不良和改善粮食安全已成为全球政治议程的最前沿。在最近食品价格上涨之后，国家和超国家发展组织及政府已开始对世界养活其迅速增长的人口的能力表示严重关切。为了实现2050年将粮食产量提高70％的目标，许多国家正在制定其农业政策以促进国内粮食自给自足，许多国家正在建立国际网络以将粮食供应外包给国界之外。面对不断增长的人口对粮食的大量需求，中国既在加强其粮食自给自足战略，又依靠从国际市场上的大量进口，这是近年来粮食价格上涨的主要驱动力。在中国，一方面收入和社会经济地位的提高极大地改善了人们的饮食摄入和总体营养状况，另一方面也给土地，水资源和自然环境造成了巨大压力。维护粮食和水的安全以及资源有限的广大人口，同时保持经济增长势头，对中国的宏观经济前景提出了重大挑战。中国的国内粮食生产和自给自足的状况对全球农业粮食市场的动荡以及粮食进口和粮食援助国家的粮食安全有一定影响。这项研究的目的是提供有关中国粮食生产和需求情况的深入概述，特别着重于其对2050年粮食安全所具有挑战性的观点。本文的前半部分旨在显示粮食生产和消费的最新趋势。以及对全球食品市场的影响。下半部分通过简要讨论政策含义来描述主要挑战。

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