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Comparison of biological and ecological long-term trends related to northern hemisphere climate in different marine ecosystems

机译:不同海洋生态系统中与北半球气候有关的生物和生态长期趋势比较

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Data from five sites of the International Long Term Ecological Research (ILTER) network in the North-Eastern Pacific, Western Arctic Ocean, Northern Baltic Sea, South-Eastern North Sea and in the Western Mediterranean Sea were analyzed by dynamic factor analysis (DFA) to trace common multi-year trends in abundance and composition of phytoplankton, benthic fauna and temperate reef fish. Multiannual trends were related to climate and environmental variables to study interactions. Two common trends in biological responses were detected, with temperature and climate indices as explanatory variables in four of the five LTER sites considered. Only one trend was observed at the fifth site, the Northern Baltic Sea, where no explanatory variables were identified. Our findings revealed quasi-synchronous biological shifts in the different marine ecosystems coincident with the 2000 climatic regime shift and provided evidence on a possible further biological shift around 2010. The observed biological modifications were coupled with abrupt or continuous increase in sea water and air temperature confirming the key-role of temperature in structuring marine communities.
机译:通过动态因子分析(DFA)分析了东北太平洋,西北冰洋,北波罗的海,东南北海和西地中海的五个国际长期生态研究网络的数据追踪浮游植物,底栖动物和温带珊瑚鱼的丰度和组成的常见多年趋势。多年趋势与气候和环境变量有关,以研究相互作用。在五个LTER站点中的四个站点中,检测到了两个生物学响应趋势,其中温度和气候指数是解释变量。在北波罗的海的第五个地点只观察到一种趋势,没有发现任何解释变量。我们的发现揭示了与2000年气候变化相吻合的不同海洋生态系统中的准同步生物变化,并提供了在2010年左右可能发生进一步生物变化的证据。观察到的生物变化与海水和气温的突然或持续升高相结合,证实了温度在构建海洋群落中的关键作用。

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