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Meeting Nationally Determined Contribution Targets: Projecting Kenya’s Motor Vehicle Emissions

机译：达到国家确定的贡献目标：预测肯尼亚的汽车排放量

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Kenya still uses a purely value-based motor vehicle taxation system. No environmentally focused fiscal policies exist for vehicle ownership and usage, yet up to a quarter of the country’s carbon dioxide emissions originate from the transport and energy sectors. To achieve its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) objectives for road transport, current vehicle taxes should be revised to reduce emissions through incentivizing newer and hybrid vehicle imports. The study projects Kenya’s motor vehicle inventory using business-as-usual scenario building projections to determine the country’s emissions and public revenue. The results conclude that vehicle age is directly proportional to the tax rate and therefore motor vehicle CO _( 2 ) emissions could be decreased significantly by amending the current tax policies to incentivize a shift in consumer car choice and help Kenya meet its NDC emissions reduction target for 2030.
机译：肯尼亚仍然使用纯粹基于价值的机动车征税系统。没有针对车辆拥有和使用的注重环境的财政政策，但该国二氧化碳排放量的四分之一来自交通运输和能源部门。为了实现公路运输的国家确定贡献（NDC）目标，应修订现行车辆税，以通过鼓励更新和混合动力车辆的进口来减少排放。该研究使用照常情景构建预测来预测肯尼亚的机动车库存，以确定该国的排放量和公共收入。结果得出结论，车辆年龄与税率成正比，因此可以通过修改当前的税收政策以鼓励消费汽车选择的转变并帮助肯尼亚实现其NDC减排目标，来显着降低机动车的CO _（2）排放2030年。

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