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首页> 外文期刊>Revista Ibero-Americana de Estratégia >Simulation of Scenarios: Case Study in the Funding Sources of the Foundation of Support for Education, Research and Scientific and Technological Development of the Federal Technological University of Paraná – Campus Pato Branco
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Simulation of Scenarios: Case Study in the Funding Sources of the Foundation of Support for Education, Research and Scientific and Technological Development of the Federal Technological University of Paraná – Campus Pato Branco

机译：情景模拟：巴拉那联邦技术大学支持教育，研究和科学技术发展基金会资金来源的案例研究–校园Pato Branco

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摘要

Running a business in the current context is a complex task. Changes and market requirements are becoming more dynamic. Given this reality it is necessary to simulate possible scenarios. Studies of scenario simulation have emerged to enable organizations a guidance on this new reality. Using a methodology based on critical variables, the simulation of scenarios extends the capability of organizations visualize their future strategic actions in order to achieve their goals. Through the theoretical framework, this study aimed to study this methodology, gathering information and presenting the main concepts related to the subject to, in the case study, apply them in the fund sources of FUNTEF-PR, Campus Pato Branco. The study found that a scenario rarely happens exactly as it was simulated, but it reduces the future organizational uncertainties. It is shown as a tool able to assist the organization in defining its strategy, at the same time,allowing a more flexible and appropriate position to deal with the uncertainty and the new, making the future less doubtful.
机译：在当前环境下开展业务是一项复杂的任务。变化和市场需求变得更加动态。在这种情况下，有必要模拟可能的情况。场景模拟的研究已经出现，可以使组织对这一新现实提供指导。使用基于关键变量的方法，情景模拟扩展了组织可视化其未来战略行动以实现其目标的能力。通过理论框架，本研究旨在研究此方法，收集信息并提出与该主题相关的主要概念，以案例研究为基础，将其应用到Campus Pato Branco的FUNTEF-PR的资金来源中。研究发现，情景很少会像模拟的那样发生，但是它减少了未来组织的不确定性。它被显示为一种工具，可以帮助组织同时定义其战略，从而可以更灵活，更适当地应对不确定性和新问题，从而减少对未来的怀疑。

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