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首页> 外文期刊>Revue Roumaine de Geographie >THE EUROPEAN UNION BETWEEN INTEGRATION AND FRAGMENTATION. A POSSIBLE EVOLUTION SCENARIO
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THE EUROPEAN UNION BETWEEN INTEGRATION AND FRAGMENTATION. A POSSIBLE EVOLUTION SCENARIO

机译：整合与碎片化之间的欧洲联盟。可能的演变情景

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摘要

Current European integration, begun after the Second World War, was based on ideas of reconciliation and tolerance among the nations of the Continent, grounded on common cultural and economic values. However, after 1997, this paradigm suffered fundamental changes when the states at the eastern border with the former Iron Curtain, obviously less economically performant, were invited to EU membership, a move that entailed greater budgetary efforts from the-already existing members. Besides, migratory fluxes from the East of Europe, but moreover from the Middle East and Northern Africa, increased criminality and terrorist risks in the West-European countries. Against this background, the question arises of whether the Christian values, underlaying the post-World War structure, are still topical. Centrifugal tendencies have already appeared and the Brexit might well be just one of the future evolution. This paper attempts to provide a future projection of Europe based on two distinct Unions in terms of economic development level and delimitation from the former Iron Curtain, which turned from a political frontier into an economic borderline.
机译：当前的欧洲一体化始于第二次世界大战之后，其基础是欧洲大陆国家之间的和解与宽容思想，其基础是共同的文化和经济价值观念。但是，在1997年之后，这种模式发生了根本性变化，当时与东部铁幕东部边境（显然经济表现不佳）的国家被邀请加入欧盟，此举需要现有成员进行更多的预算工作。此外，来自欧洲东部，但又来自中东和北非的移民潮在西欧国家增加了犯罪和恐怖主义风险。在这样的背景下，人们提出了一个问题，即在二战后的结构基础上的基督教价值观是否仍然是热门话题。离心趋势已经出现，英国脱欧很可能只是未来的发展之一。本文试图根据经济发展水平和对前铁幕的划分（基于从政治边界变成经济边界的前铁幕）提供两个不同联盟的欧洲未来预测。

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