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Pedestrianism as an Effective Tool for Sustainable Intra-City Commuting in Calabar, Southern Nigeria

机译:行人主义是尼日利亚南部卡拉巴尔市可持续城市通勤的有效工具

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The promotion of walking has become a global strategy in sustainable urban transportation planning. This is with the aim of reducing the urban commuter’s problems that result from the dominance of motorized urban transit, especially in developing countries with an increasing rate of urbanization. This study is carried out in Calabar, Southern Nigeria with the aim of assessing the conditions under which pedestrianism is enhanced. Research questionnaires were administered to household heads in all 22 localities with political delineation (wards) in the city. Respondents were sampled using the stratified sampling technique where every 10~(th) residential house is sampled after the initial listing of houses. Logistic regression analysis was conducted to predict the conditions under which about 382 household heads (about 98% respondent rate) in Calabar could undertake utilitarian walking using factors such as motorized traffic, weather conditions, lack of safety of pedestrians and socio-economic variables as category predictors. A test of the full model against a constant single model was statistically significant, indicating that the predictors, as a set, reliably distinguished utilitarian walking and non-walking (chi square = 60.544, p .001 with df = 17). Nagelkerke’s R~(2) of .232 indicated a moderately strong relationship between prediction and grouping. Prediction success overall was 70.5% (53.5% for non-walking, and 81.5% for walking). The Wald criterion demonstrated that only pedestrian conflict, lack of safety of pedestrian and the age of the pedestrian made a significant contribution to the prediction in model 1 (p = .000). Furthermore, about 99.2% of pedestrians indicated walking distances of not more than 5km while on the other hand, they can afford 0.8km to bus station, 3km to school, 5km for shopping, and about 20km for recreation trips. The study recommended counseling strategies for promoting pedestrianism among which is the development of pedestrian walkways and complementary facilities to enhance pedestrian safety and comfort.
机译:促进步行已成为可持续城市交通规划中的全球战略。这样做的目的是减少因机动化的城市交通而引起的城市通勤者的问题,尤其是在城市化率不断提高的发展中国家。这项研究是在尼日利亚南部的卡拉巴尔进行的,目的是评估行人专用条件得到改善的条件。研究问卷已分发给全市22个具有政治划界(病房)的户主。采用分层抽样技术对受访者进行抽样,即在首次列出房屋后,每隔第10个住宅房屋进行抽样。进行Logistic回归分析来预测卡拉巴尔约382位户主(响应率约98%)在何种条件下可以使用机动交通,天气条件,行人缺乏安全和社会经济变量等因素进行功利步行预测变量。相对于恒定单一模型对完整模型进行的测试具有统计学意义,表明预测变量作为一组可靠地区分了功利性步行和非步行功(卡方= 60.544,p <.001,df = 17)。 Nagelkerke的R〜(2)为0.232,表明预测和分组之间存在中等强度的关系。总体上,预测成功率为70.5%(非步行为53.5%,步行为81.5%)。 Wald标准表明,只有行人冲突,行人缺乏安全性和行人的年龄对模型1中的预测做出了重大贡献(p = .000)。此外,约99.2%的行人表示步行距离不超过5公里,而另一方面,他们可以负担得起公交车站0.8公里,学校3公里,购物5公里和休闲旅行20公里的路程。这项研究建议了促进行人专用的咨询策略,其中包括开发人行道和辅助设施,以提高行人的安全性和舒适性。

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