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A Proposal to Integrate System Dynamics and Carbon Metabolism for Urban Planning

机译:整合系统动力学和碳代谢的城市规划提案

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Coupling of life-cycle thinking with urban metabolism (UM) has the potential to improve sustainable urban planning. Current urban metabolism models are largely ‘black-box’ methods which do not reveal the non-linearity of feedback loops and complex internal dynamics of urban systems. The integration of system dynamics (SD) with UM based on a life-cycle thinking approach can provide built environment professionals (e.g. town planners, civil engineers, architects) with a ‘transparent-box’ solution for assessing the potential of urban projects, plans, and their implementation. This paper describes the development of a method that integrates input-output (IO) table flows with SD modelling to improve the completeness of UM assessments. This modelling framework can also allow for a ‘nested’ multi-region assessment which takes into account sustainability burdens consequent to urban system changes occurring elsewhere in the national and/or global economy. Pros and cons of this proposal are showcased by the illustration of a model for Lisbon.
机译:生命周期思维与城市新陈代谢(UM)的耦合具有改善可持续城市规划的潜力。当前的城市新陈代谢模型主要是“黑匣子”方法,无法揭示反馈回路的非线性和城市系统内部复杂的动态。基于生命周期思维方法的系统动力学(SD)与UM的集成可以为建筑环境专业人员(例如,城市规划师,土木工程师,建筑师)提供“透明的”解决方案,用于评估城市项目,计划的潜力,及其实现。本文介绍了一种将输入输出(IO)表流与SD建模相集成以提高UM评估完整性的方法的开发。该建模框架还可以进行“嵌套”多区域评估,其中考虑到由于国民和/或全球经济其他地方发生的城市系统变化而导致的可持续性负担。里斯本的模型说明了该建议的利弊。

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