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首页> 外文期刊>Tropical and Subtropical Agroecosystems >IMPACT OF AGRICULTURAL POLICY ON RELATIVE PRICE VARIABILITY OF FOOD CROPS AND INFLATION IN NIGERIA
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IMPACT OF AGRICULTURAL POLICY ON RELATIVE PRICE VARIABILITY OF FOOD CROPS AND INFLATION IN NIGERIA

机译:农业政策对尼日利亚粮食作物相对价格变化和通货膨胀的影响

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Prices of food crops in Nigeria tend to exhibit similar trend with inflation. The study therefore established quantitatively relationships among agricultural policy, relative price variability (RPV) of food crops and inflation in Nigeria. Data for the study includes annual producer prices (nominal) and output of food crops and annual inflation rate obtained from the publications of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Nigerian Bureau of Statistics, Food and Agricultural Organisation and Nigerian Institute of Social and Economic Research covering the period of 1970-2009. Analytical tools used were RPV index and Error Correction Method (ECM). The results showed that the variables are stationary at their levels. As inflation increases, RPV of food crops also increases both in short run (0.0002) and the long run (0.0310). Civilian Post-Structural Adjustment Period Policies (CPSAP) caused a significant reduction in inflation and consequently reduced the RPV of food crops in the long run. There is a need for policies that will buffer the food crop sub-sector from the effects of inflation. Policies that reduce the rate of inflation and minimise RPV among food crops are needed. Effective management of inefficiencies and misallocation of resources in the sub-sector should be explored.
机译:尼日利亚的粮食作物价格往往呈现与通货膨胀相似的趋势。因此,该研究在尼日利亚建立了农业政策,粮食作物的相对价格变异性(RPV)和通货膨胀之间的定量关系。该研究的数据包括从尼日利亚中央银行,尼日利亚统计局,粮食和农业组织以及尼日利亚社会与经济研究所发表的出版物中获得的年度生产者价格(名义)和粮食作物的产量以及年度通货膨胀率。 1970-2009年。使用的分析工具是RPV索引和纠错方法(ECM)。结果表明,变量在其水平上是平稳的。随着通货膨胀的增加,短期(0.0002)和长期(0.0310)的粮食作物RPV也会增加。长期以来,《民用结构后调整时期政策》(CPSAP)导致通货膨胀率大大降低,因此降低了粮食作物的RPV。有必要制定政策,使粮食作物子行业免受通货膨胀的影响。需要减少通货膨胀率并使粮食作物之间的RPV最小化的政策。应该探索对子部门的低效率和资源分配不当进行有效管理。

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