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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of atherosclerosis and thrombosis. >Residual Lifetime Risk of Cardiovascular Diseases in Japan
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Residual Lifetime Risk of Cardiovascular Diseases in Japan

机译：日本心血管病的终生残留风险

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Risk assessment of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) is shifting from the relative risk to an absolute risk approach. The residual lifetime risk (LTR), which provides an absolute risk assessment, is an epidemiologic measure that expresses the probability of someone of a given age and sex developing a disease condition during their remaining lifespan. The LTR estimation is important because it could be more easily comprehended by clinicians and patients. The LTR for CVD was not estimated for the Japanese population until recently, when the LTR of stroke and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) was reported. The reported LTR of stroke and AMI for middle-aged adults is substantial. The observed probabilities illustrated that approximately 1 in 5 men and women of middle age will suffer from a stroke in their remaining lifetime. On the other hand, approximately 1 in 6 men and 1 in 9 women of middle age will suffer from AMI in their remaining lifetime. Aaginst the backdrop of the aging population and worsening risk factor scenario, these estimates re-emphasize that CVD is a public health burden that requires preventive interventions. These estimates provide a means to communicate the absolute risk of CVD to the lay population, policy makers, as well as health service providers in predicting the disease burden of CVD. This easily comprehended knowledge can be used as an important index to assist in public health education and planning.
机译：心血管疾病（CVD）的风险评估正在从相对风险转变为绝对风险方法。剩余生命风险（LTR）提供了绝对的风险评估，它是一种流行病学度量，表示给定年龄和性别的人在其剩余寿命中出现疾病的可能性。 LTR估计很重要，因为它可以被临床医生和患者更容易地理解。直到最近，据报道中风和急性心肌梗死（AMI）的LTR，日本人群才估计CVD的LTR。据报道，中年人的中风和AMI的LTR是可观的。观察到的概率表明，大约五分之一的中年男性和女性在其剩余寿命中会遭受中风的折磨。另一方面，在中年人中，大约有六分之一的男性和九分之一的女性将患有AMI。在人口老龄化和风险因素恶化的背景下，这些估计再次强调了CVD是一种公共卫生负担，需要采取预防性干预措施。这些估计值提供了一种方法，可以将非CVD的绝对风险传达给非专业人群，决策者以及医疗服务提供者，以预测CVD的疾病负担。这些容易理解的知识可以用作帮助进行公共卫生教育和规划的重要指标。

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