Evaluation of conflict hazard and financial risk in the E7 economies' capital markets

Umit Hacioglu; Hasan Dincer

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Evaluation of conflict hazard and financial risk in the E7 economies' capital markets

机译：评估E7经济体资本市场中的冲突风险和金融风险

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The purpose of this research is to examine the interaction between financial stress and conflict risk having impacts on financial instruments in capital markets within an interdisciplinary frame. The Fuzzy TOPSIS method is applied in order to analyse effects of conflict hazard on capital markets and financial instruments in the E7 economies and to demonstrate the best possible ranks of the E7 economies based on performance evaluation criteria. In order to obtain the dynamics of data as to develop a sufficient reference bases for expert opinions, conflict hazard index and financial stress index have been structured. The empirical results confirm that there is strong relation between financial stress index and conflict hazard index for the E7 economies. The fundamental conclusion demonstrates the effects of the financial and conflict risks for the stock selection in the E7 economies by the criteria derived from the Financial Stress Index and Conflict Risk Index.

机译：这项研究的目的是研究跨学科框架内的财务压力和冲突风险之间的相互作用，这些相互作用对资本市场中的金融工具产生影响。应用模糊TOPSIS方法是为了分析冲突风险对E7经济体中资本市场和金融工具的影响，并基于绩效评估标准来证明E7经济体的最佳排名。为了获得数据的动态性并为专家意见建立充分的参考基础，已经构建了冲突风险指数和财务压力指数。实证结果证实，E7经济体的财务压力指数与冲突风险指数之间存在密切关系。基本结论通过金融压力指数和冲突风险指数得出的标准，证明了金融风险和冲突风险对E7经济体股票选择的影响。

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《Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijec》 |2013年第1期|共24页
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Umit Hacioglu; Hasan Dincer;
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1. Evaluation of conflict hazard and financial risk in the E7 economies' capital markets [J] . Umit Hacioglu, Hasan Dincer Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijec . 2013,第1期

机译：评估E7经济体资本市场中的冲突风险和金融风险
2. Interval type 2-based hybrid fuzzy evaluation of financial services in E7 economies with DEMATEL-ANP and MOORA methods [J] . Dincer Hasan, Yuksel Serhat, Martinez Luis Applied Soft Computing . 2019,第期

机译：德国ANP和Moora方法的E7经济体中金融服务的间隔类型2的混合模糊评价
3. A GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL OF A MULTIFIRM MORAL-HAZARD ECONOMY WITH FINANCIAL MARKETS [J] . Sung Jaeyoung, Wan Xuhu Mathematical finance . 2015,第4期

机译：具有金融市场的多重道德风险经济的一般均衡模型
4. The impacts of financial internationalization on market value and risk: evidence from the Korean capital market [C] . Beom J. Yu . 1999

机译：金融国际化对市场价值和风险的影响：韩国资本市场的证据
5. Four essays in empirical corporate finance and financial markets: Social capital, corporate risk-taking, external financing, and financial market development. [D] . Javakhadze, David. 2014

机译：关于公司财务实证和金融市场的四篇论文：社会资本，公司风险承担，外部融资和财务市场发展。
6. A Hybrid Decision-Making Approach for the Service and Financial-Based Measurement of Universal Health Coverage for the E7 Economies [O] . Xiaofeng Shi, Jianying Li, Fei Wang, 2019

机译：E7经济体基于服务和财务的全民健康覆盖度混合决策方法
7. Financial Development and the Distributional Effects of Monetary Policy Do the distributional consequences of monetary policy depend on the extent of financial development? Should optimal monetary policy vary across countries? In order to answer these questions, we develop a monetary growth production model with heterogeneous agents. In our economy, optimal policy needs to weigh the effects of policy across two groups — capital owners and individuals who hold liquid assets. While banks help limit the exposure to inflation, there are limits because money alleviates the frictions of private information and limited communication. In this environment, we compare two economies that are identical in every aspect except for their level of financial development. In a country with limited financial development, a stock market is absent. In the other, an equity market is active. In either economy, inflation adversely affects capital formation and output. Individuals who hold liquid assets are always adversely affected by inflation, but the attitude of capital owners depends on the level of financial development. In particular, in the presence of a stock market, the impact of inflation on the welfare of capital owners is non-monotonic. Nevertheless, optimal monetary policy is always more conservative at higher levels of financial development. [O] . TINA M. Edgar A. Ghossoub, TINA M. Robert R. Reedy 100

机译：金融发展和货币政策的分配效应货币政策的分配后果是否取决于金融发展的程度？各国的最优货币政策应该不同吗？为了回答这些问题，我们开发了一个具有异构代理的货币增长生产模型。在我们的经济中，最优政策需要权衡两个群体的政策效应 - 资本所有者和持有流动资产的个人。虽然银行帮助限制通胀风险，但存在限制，因为资金减轻了私人信息的摩擦和有限的沟通。在这种环境下，我们比较两个经济体在各个方面都是相同的，除了它们的金融发展水平。在金融发展有限的国家，缺乏股票市场。另一方面，股票市场活跃。在任一经济体中，通胀都会对资本形成和产出产生不利影响持有流动资产的个人总是受到通货膨胀的不利影响，但资本所有者的态度取决于金融发展的水平。特别是，在股票市场存在的情况下，通货膨胀对资本所有者福利的影响是非单调的。尽管如此，在较高的金融发展水平下，最优货币政策总是更加保守。

Evaluation of conflict hazard and financial risk in the E7 economies' capital markets

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